Current H-1B Approval Rates and Historical Trends
- Although H-1B petition approval rates remain high at about 98%, the annual cap lottery is the biggest hurdle, with recent selection rates around 35%.
- Beginning with the FY 2027 season, lottery selection is wage-weighted, giving higher-paid roles multiple entries and better odds.
- Even after selection, petitions can be denied due to specialty occupation issues or status gaps, making accurate filings critical.
According to the most recent USCIS data, H-1B visa approval rates are well over 90% once you get to the petition stage. While much attention goes to the lottery, the Form I-129 petition itself is where most H-1B cases are actually won or lost. With the FY 2027 H-1B cap now reached, selections complete, and attention turning to the Form I-129 petition, understanding current approval rates across different petition types can help you and your employer build a stronger case.
What is the H-1B visa approval rate today?
According to data from U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Services (USCIS), the H-1B visa approval rate for the full fiscal year 2025 is 97.9%. USCIS adjudicated 415,275 H-1B petitions over the full year, approving 406,349 and denying 8,926.
In Q4 2025 (July through September)—the most recent quarter available—the H-1B approval rate was 97.5%, with 104,811 petitions adjudicated, 102,224 approved, and 2,587 denied. The slight Q4 dip is negligible, and H-1B approval rates remain firmly above 97%.
| Fiscal Year | Petitions Adjudicated | Petitions Approved | Petitions Denied | Approval Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY 2025 (Full Year) | 415,275 | 406,349 | 8,926 | ~97.9% |
| FY 2025 Q4 (Jul–Sep) | 104,811 | 102,224 | 2,587 | ~97.5% |
| FY 2024 | 407,641 | 399,410 | 8,231 | ~98% |
| FY 2023 | 397,252 | 386,353 | 10,899 | ~97% |
| FY 2022 | 451,507 | 442,435 | 9,072 | ~98% |
| FY 2021 | 418,286 | 407,058 | 11,228 | ~97% |
| FY 2020 | 466,638 | 426,728 | 39,910 | ~91% |
These rates apply to all types of Form I-129 H-1B petition decisions, including initial employment, extensions, amendments, and employer changes.
| Explore historical trends and recent data about the H-1B lottery to learn more about selection odds and how the lottery has changed over the years. |
Approval rate for initial H-1B visa petitions
New employment petitions saw an approval rate of 97% in FY 2025, according to the latest data from the USCIS H-1B Employer Data Hub.
| New Employment Decisions | New Employment Approvals | Approval Rate |
| 116,730 | 113,460 | 97% |
Approval rate for H-1B visa extensions
Continuations, or extensions of an H-1B with the same employer without changes, had an approval rate of 98% in FY 2025, according to the Employer Data Hub.
| Continuation Decisions | Continuation Approvals | Approval Rate |
| 120,158 | 118,194 | 98% |
Approval rate for H-1B amendments
For workers who filed an H-1B amendment because of changes to their role, the approval rate was 98% in FY 2025.
| Amendment Decisions | Amendment Approvals | Approval Rate |
| 66,749 | 65,214 | 98% |
Approval rate for H-1B changes with the same employer
For workers who stayed with the same employer but submitted a new H-1B visa petition, the approval rate was 98% for FY 2025.
| Change Decisions | Change Approvals | Approval Rate |
| 40,654 | 39,967 | 98% |
Approval rate for H-1B employer changes
H-1B petitions for current visa holders who changed employers, also known as an H-1B transfer, were approved at a rate of 98% in FY 2025.
| New Employer Decisions | New Employer Approvals | Approval Rate |
| 69,552 | 68,167 | 98% |
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Why H-1B approval rates change year to year
H-1B approval rates are influenced by policy, workload, economic conditions, and the types of cases being filed
- Policy and adjudication priorities: When there are shifts in USCIS guidance, enforcement priorities, or internal training, you may see changes in Request for Evidence (RFE) rates and denials, especially around what qualifies as a “specialty occupation” and whether the role truly requires a specific degree.
- Volume and processing capacity: When it receives more petitions or has a larger backlog of cases, USCIS may triage differently, issue more RFEs, or take longer to process cases, which can change the mix of outcomes recorded in a given year.
- Economic and hiring cycles: When the economy tightens, employers may file fewer edge cases and more straightforward extensions. This can raise overall approval rates. Conversely, there may be more first-time or fast-growth cases in a booming economy, which can make approval rates dip.
- Case mix (new vs. continuing filings): Approval rates often look different for new employment vs. extensions. If one category grows faster than the other, the overall rate can shift.
- Industry trends and job design: Some roles or certain job description patterns are more likely to trigger questions. As job titles and duties evolve, USCIS scrutiny can shift with it. When industries go through rapid change, specialty jobs change—think of tech or AI, for example.
Common reasons H-1B petitions are denied
Most denials stem from insufficient documentation or failure to clearly show that the job and candidate meet H-1B eligibility standards.
- Failure to establish specialty occupation: This remains the top cause of denials. If the job description is too vague or the role is deemed entry level (Level 1 wage), USCIS may argue a degree isn’t necessary.
- Wage, duties, and location don’t line up: The wage level on the Labor Condition Application doesn’t match the job duties, level of responsibility, or worksite details described in the petition.
- Lack of employer-employee relationship: This is common for third-party worksites or staffing agencies. Failure to prove that the petitioner maintains control over the worker’s daily tasks is a major red flag.
- Inadequate educational background: If the beneficiary’s degree isn’t related to the specific duties of the role, the petition may be denied.
- Maintenance of status issues: Any gap in legal status can lead to a petition being denied.
Make sense of your approval odds with Manifest
The H-1B process can be complex, and your approval odds depend on your specific role, background, and employer. The best way to understand your chances is to speak with an experienced H-1B attorney.
At Manifest Law, our team will evaluate your situation, strengthen your petition, and help you build a long-term immigration strategy aligned with your goals.
Request a consultation today to get started.
H-1B visa approval rate FAQs
Are H-1B extensions easier to approve?
Extensions can be more straightforward because USCIS is reviewing an existing role. However, they are not automatic—changes in duties, wages, location, or employer structure can still trigger scrutiny.
Do RFEs mean H-1B visa denial?
No. A Request for Evidence (RFE) simply means USCIS needs more information. Many H-1B petitions are approved after a strong response.
Does premium processing help H-1B visa approval?
No. Premium processing speeds up the review (15 business days) but does not improve your odds of approval. It also does not apply to the lottery registration stage.