Key Takeaways
- More people are applying for EB-1A and EB-2 NIW than ever, making the competition for a Green Card tougher.
- While overall approval rates have dropped, the government is approving more EB-1A cases than ever before.
- If your EB-1A or EB-2 NIW case is strong enough to file today, adjudication trends give no compelling reason to wait.
- In a competitive environment, waiting doesn’t improve your odds; it just gives the bar more time to rise.
Summary
The Manifest EB-1A and EB-2 NIW Trends and Outlook Report analyzes historical USCIS data (up to Quarter 3 of Fiscal Year 2025) alongside third-party case outcome data from Lawfully from as recently as January 2026.
Since 2022, filing volumes for both EB-1A and EB-2 NIW have surged. While rising demand has come with lower approval rates, the number of EB-1As being approved is actually increasing.
Even in a more competitive environment, the data suggests that well-structured cases are succeeding at higher rates than many assume.
In this report, our in-house attorneys, who prepare EB-1A and EB-2 NIW petitions every day, outline how to build a strong case in today’s climate.
Get the full report
Explore Manifest's full analysis to dive deeper into EB-1A and EB-2 NIW trends, and what that means for applicants filing in today's more competitive environment.
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